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Innovation, Growth and Industrial Policies

Paper Session

Saturday, Jan. 3, 2026 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM (EST)

Philadelphia Marriott Downtown
Hosted By: Chinese Economists Society
  • Chair: Yong Wang, Peking University

Leapfrogging by Switching the Lane: Directed Technical Change in China’s Transition to Electronic Vehicles

Yong Wang
,
Peking University
Ufuk Akcigit
,
University of Chicago
Wan Xu
,
Peking University
Lijun Zhu
,
Peking University

Abstract

The past two decades have witnessed remarkable progress in China’s electric vehicles (EVs). This paper first documents the dynamic evolution in China’s EV industrial policies in both EV R&D grants and EV purchase subsidies. We then develop a two-country-two-technology industry equilibrium model with directed and step-by-step innovation to formally theorize the impact of polices in a global context. In the model, the initial technology gap in EVs is much smaller than the counterpart in gasoline vehicles (GVs) between Home (China) and Foreign, which, together with environmental consideration, incentivize both government and private producers in Home to switch lanes to EVs to leapfrog. Optimal policies feature front-loaded EV R&D subsidies and hump-shaped EV purchase subsidies. Purchase subsidy rate is initially low as it would accrue profits to foreign producers when domestic EV technology lags behind, and eventually phases out when the EV relative price is sufficiently low. We further examine the interaction between subsidies and trade policies.

Privacy Concerns, Firm Innovation, and Optimal Taxation in the Data Economy

Haiping Zhang
,
University of Auckland
Hannie Huang
,
University of Auckland

Abstract

This paper introduces consumer data as an input for R&D in a Schumpeterian growth model where consumers balance the economic benefits of selling data against privacy concerns. In a decentralized market equilibrium, a higher degree of privacy concerns reduces the supply of consumer data, hindering innovation and leading to a lower growth rate. Compared to a social planner's allocation, the decentralized equilibrium features socially excessive (insufficient) innovation, if the degree of privacy concerns is larger (smaller) than a threshold. This threshold value depends on three factors, i.e., the step of innovation, the mark-up on product markets, and the data intensity in R&D. We analyze the optimal taxation that restores socially efficient allocation and discuss the role of digital infrastructure in shaping the innovation and growth in this model.

Turing Growth Model

Danxia Xie
,
Tsinghua University
Wenshi Wei
,
Tsinghua University

Abstract

Inspired by the pioneering Turing Machine model introduced by Turing in 1936, this research endeavors to develop a unified growth model for the digital economy, integrating data with computing power, storage, and algorithms. In this framework, algorithms serve as the production functions of data and computing power. Data can be generated alongside consumption activities, albeit at the cost of privacy. Once stored, data become non-rival among firms and sectors. In contrast, computing power, is a rival factor allocated to different firms. Consumer privacy concerns cap the long-term growth of data volumes at the rate of population growth, rendering data-related parameters ineffective in influencing the growth rate. This constraint on data expansion reduces the demand for labor in storage production, thereby facilitating a gradual reallocation of labor toward computing power production. Consequently, improvements in computing power, such as those described by Moore's Law, emerge as a crucial driver of economic growth. We examine how frictions, including monopoly power, dilution costs of computing power, and distorted innovation incentives in a decentralized economy, impact the allocation of data and computing power. Additionally, we analyze the market power held by data intermediaries and computing power providers. By comparing welfare outcomes under different allocations and conducting comparative statics (which reflect variations in production and innovation algorithms), we highlight that eliminating the monopoly markup of data intermediaries is generally advantageous. However, such a measure may have unintended negative consequences for computing power providers.

Judicial Protection of Intellectual Property Rights and Innovation, Evidence from China

Haolin Li
,
University of Nottingham-Ningbo China
Xiuping Hua
,
University of Nottingham-Ningbo China
Haisheng Yang
,
Sun Yat-sen University

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates how China’s judicial protection of IPR affects corporate innovation both in the short run and long run. We show that IPR protection immediately enhances innovation mainly by increasing corporate transparency and social trust. We further explore the development patterns of IPR protection using continuous exposure methods, and find that sustained and long-term judicial protection of IPR is essential for better promoting corporate innovation.

Discussant(s)
Zikun Liu
,
Yale University
Danxia Xie
,
Tsinghua University
Haiping Zhang
,
University of Auckland
Wan Xu
,
Peking University
JEL Classifications
  • O3 - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights
  • E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy